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Sardines Analysis: in-depth with Windy.com #sardinerun2025 #sardinemigration

Sardines Analysis 28 May 2025 with Windy

Sardines Analysis: in-depth with Windy.com #sardinerun2025 #sardinemigration

Sardines Analysis: in-depth with Windy.com: our meteorological partner – Windy.com – are endowed with a set of tools that make detailed analyses of what is going on with the sardines this year, so much more fun!

Weather

Let’s start with the weather…we have another whole week of low-pressure systems battling it out with any high-pressures they can find. And that big high off Durban (lives there most of the time) has been doing a great job fending off the cold fronts so far. But this next week has a lot of red and orange in it. And many, many close-together lines on the charts. These close-together lines mean big swell is on the way. And the prevailing low-pressures will produce nice big rolling swells from the south (just like the sardines like it) painted with an early morning offshore, delivered with coffee each day.

Sardines Analysis with Windy.com
Sardines Analysis with Windy.com

Currents

The ocean currents analysis from Windy.com tells a few secrets. You can clearly see that the normal straight-driving Agulhas Current has lost attention and is now meandering all over the place. Looks like it is trying to avoid potholes. It’s causing vortexes and counter currents in all the weirdest places. There are two easily identifiable warm-water barriers playing havoc with the already panicked sardines. Of which there are plenty. In that slightly colder patch from Coffee Bay to Port St Johns, there are pilot shoals. And some much bigger shoals coming up behind them. South of that, however, is warm water right to the coastline. And this extends right past Kevin in Qora towards Kei Mouth and Morgans Bay. Then it gets cold again and this is the water in which the GoDive operators are having so much fun. Further south, there is another warm water barrier that might be keeping some of the sardines down there for longer than they would like.

Sardines Analysis with Windy.com - currents and sea temps.
Is the Agulhas trying to avoid the KZN potholes or what? You can see where it veers out to sea from about Port Shepstone and then back in again at Kevin in Qora, bouncing off from there and making contact with land again at Port Alfred.

A huge thank you to Windy.com! And to all of our readers here on The Sardine News.

And as per programme…Adam on the ball in the Township Hyper Crows Nest, this early morning…

Sardines and Sightings

Join the Sardine News HOTLINE for 2025 and Neva Miss a Single Sardine! We first upload to YouTube, and then progressively up to the rest of the social platforms (Facey, X, etc) as the bandwidth allows.

CLICK HERE TO JOIN as a Member on YouTube, and receive all these perks too…

Member of WhatsApp Sardine News HOTLINE, access to restricted content on thesardine.co.za, LIVE Broadcasts from the Beach during the sardine run. And direct contact with the Sardine Spy network team.

You can also get around the season in a real fun way by checking out our annual Sardine Run Maps. This is a real groovy way to follow the progress of the sardines each year.

You can even download our app to your phone or device, accept notifications, and you will never miss a single sardine.

Here are the links to existing and past  Sardine Sighting Maps…

2025 Sardine Map

2024 Sardine Map

2023 Sardine Map

2022 Sardine Map

2021 Sardine Map

Channels

Brucifire Surf Retorts – highly entertaining  surf reporting

Master Watermen – news from way down deep

The Sardine News – neva miss a single  sardine

FishBazaruto – 1000 pounds plus

MYDO Tackle Talk – highly technical  sport fishing

Surf Launching Southern Africa – getting out there safely

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Elton of GoDive Sardine Baitball Report from Cintsa #sardinerun2025 #sardinemigration #sardine #news

Sardine Baitball by Nicolene Olckers

Elton of GoDive Sardine Baitball Report from Cintsa #sardinerun2025 #sardinemigration #sardine #news

Elton of GoDive Sardine Baitball Report from Cintsa #sardinerun2025 #sardinemigration #sardine #news :another crisp wintery morning down here in southern KZN. The offshore winds are blowing daily and this whole week is dominated mainly by south systems swinging across the country. Causing this offshore drift of air every morning – you can see the smoke from bush fires, cane fires and people whisping out over the sea. Makes for spectacular sunrises and seascapes.

We have a gentle southwesterly blowing later this morning, aiming to top out at around 12 to 15 knots as it takes over from the offshore from about low tide onwards. Later in the day, as the tide pushes in, the wind will swing even further to the east to become a proper onshore.

The ocean recovers really fast in this place at this time of the year. And often a bit of east in the afternoon will pull the prevailing SSW swell into the bays and coves for surfing for the next morning. Many nuances in the atmosphere are at play right now that produce these perfect conditions.

Meanwhile, down south in Cintsa…sardine baitball report by Elton…

all the fish and more fish and more fish and more fish
Hey morning just an update from
Cintsa uh week 4 has just kicked off
yesterday was a little bit quiet
didn’t really find much at all um
and then today all of a sudden in the cold
wet windy um
weather there was there’s quite a lot of action
right from in front of Cintsa in the bay
20 meters deep water nice clear water uh
lots of sardines lots of gannets
and then
some of the videos are also from the East London side
so
one of the boats went all the way down to East London
found great action in front there yeah
the other boats in Cintsa
all the clients on both boats are in the water
at the moment uh
I think um
the last update I heard is that the
one boats
on their third or fourth bait ball for the morning
yeah and they only launched at 8:00 so it’s really
really good conditions at the moment
lots of sardines coming through
lots of gannets
lots of dolphins and I will update further when uh
when I hear more
wow guys it’s bait fish all over the place
Mike
Mike
Mike
Mike
Mike
Mike
Mike
Mike
Mike
Mike
Mike
Mike

Sardines and Sightings

Join the Sardine News HOTLINE for 2025 and Neva Miss a Single Sardine! We first upload to YouTube, and then progressively up to the rest of the social platforms (Facey, X, etc) as the bandwidth allows.

CLICK HERE TO JOIN as a Member on YouTube, and receive all these perks too…

Member of WhatsApp Sardine News HOTLINE, access to restricted content on thesardine.co.za, LIVE Broadcasts from the Beach during the sardine run. And direct contact with the Sardine Spy network team.

You can also get around the season in a real fun way by checking out our annual Sardine Run Maps. This is a real groovy way to follow the progress of the sardines each year.

You can even download our app to your phone or device, accept notifications, and you will never miss a single sardine.

Here are the links to existing and past  Sardine Sighting Maps…

2025 Sardine Map

2024 Sardine Map

2023 Sardine Map

2022 Sardine Map

2021 Sardine Map

Channels

Brucifire Surf Retorts – highly entertaining  surf reporting

Master Watermen – news from way down deep

The Sardine News – neva miss a single  sardine

FishBazaruto – 1000 pounds plus

MYDO Tackle Talk – highly technical  sport fishing

Surf Launching Southern Africa – getting out there safely

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SARDINES in the TRANSKEI, UFOs, KZN Conditions and more aerial surveillance

UFOs vs Sardines

SARDINES in the TRANSKEI, UFOs, KZN Conditions and more aerial surveillance

SARDINES in the TRANSKEI, UFOs, KZN Conditions and more aerial surveillance: it wasn’t only us that got caught by sardine surprise today. The gannets also hit a miss and were nowhere to be seen. A rare occurrence given that the gannets absoliuteoy live for these tasty fishies.

“Well that sure looks like sardines to me
thank you very much to the okes who sent that in
so we
I chat it to the Bear and he verifies that conditions
etcetera
and the Kevin says he’s quite convinced as well
so we decided to give it a stamp of approval
and
say that there are definitely sardines in the Transkei
Umtata Mouth and they’re definitely moving north
I don’t know how come the gannets lost them
ha ha ha they’re gonna find them later today
it’s gonna be a bit of a show boy OK
lekker thank you
don’t forget to like and subscribe and join the channel
if you want to get this information first
because it already has gone to the Sardine HOTLINE
and then it goes to YouTube members
then goes to Youtubers
and then it goes to the other platforms
as we can upload so very big mission alright
but thank you very much for watching Ciao Ciao”

UFOs vs Sardines

UFOs vs. Sardines: Well, there has been zero news from the sardine spy network since Kevin was tracking a large shoal on its way to Hole in the Wall and Port St Johns from his base in the very southern Transkei.

Aerial contributor Rogan Brent was up in the air in that area all day yesterday and here are the fruits of his efforts.

Mgazana Aerial Gallery by Rogan Brent

Sardines and Sightings

Join the Sardine News HOTLINE
Join the Sardine News HOTLINE

Join the Sardine News HOTLINE for 2025 and Neva Miss a Single Sardine! We first upload to YouTube, and then progressively up to the rest of the social platforms (Facey, X, etc) as the bandwidth allows.

CLICK HERE TO JOIN as a Member on YouTube, and receive all these perks too…

Member of WhatsApp Sardine News HOTLINE, access to restricted content on thesardine.co.za, LIVE Broadcasts from the Beach during the sardine run. And direct contact with the Sardine Spy network team.

You can also get around the season in a real fun way by checking out our annual Sardine Run Maps. This is a real groovy way to follow the progress of the sardines each year.

You can even download our app to your phone or device, accept notifications, and you will never miss a single sardine.

Here are the links to existing and past  Sardine Sighting Maps…

2025 Sardine Map

2024 Sardine Map

2023 Sardine Map

2022 Sardine Map

2021 Sardine Map

Channels

Brucifire Surf Retorts – highly entertaining  surf reporting

Master Watermen – news from way down deep

The Sardine News – neva miss a single  sardine

FishBazaruto – 1000 pounds plus

MYDO Tackle Talk – highly technical  sport fishing

Surf Launching Southern Africa – getting out there safely

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Tweni 2s Today – Surfing Contest at Umtentweni

Tweni 2s Today

Tweni 2s Today – Surfing Contest at Umtentweni

Tweni 2s Today – Surfing Contest at Umtentweni: this event has gained notable momentum since it’s inception as a fun weekend for surfers and families, all those years ago.

Now it’s more like the Gunston 500!

So much going on – all the while, teams of two battle it out in today’s perfect waves and conditions, for the first prize of a bucket of money! ANd a whole lot of fun!

“and it’s big welcome back to the Sardine News
this beautiful 24th of May 2025
the twenty twos at Umtentweni is on today
and the waves are cooking
whole bunch of surfers
gonna be doing their best for the big bucket of money
first prize right
we’re gonna go all over the country today
so you’re gonna have to strap in
hold on tight and off we go
welcome back to the Sardine News
all the fish and more fish and more fish and more fish
5 4
3 2
1 that’s it
what’s the point
wrong board
wrong board
wrong board
okay here comes the aerial material
let’s see if he’s loosened up a bit
ooh putting some effort into it
oh no
I’m aiming aiming verkeerd
bang
Shot
oh this looks a little bit better hey
a lot better for a Friday morning
Noorsekloof Point
bit of a uh
serious wind on it hey
isn’t that beautiful an unwritten wave
Sea’s too rough got a heavy undercurrent
3 fisherman I know
how’s it chaps
this is Kevin at Qora Mouth just north of Mazeppa Bay
Southern Transkei
well major movement moving past here
uh we’ve had a large shoal
and I’m gonna say it’s much more than a pilot shoal
um has already passed through Nabaha
it’s up near Dwesa which is near the Mbashi River
The Haven Hotel reported in
that there were lots of birds there yesterday
so I’m expecting this shoal um
to come in a lot closer
we got an east wind blowing today
which should cool the water down considerably
the inshore water is sitting at about 22 yesterday
but it’s gonna cool down
gonna bring them in off the shelf
and they should be reaching Port St John’s
probably in the next two days
but should be going through Hole in the Wall
anytime this weekend so waiting for some good footage
but yeah game on guys game on”

Sardines and Sightings

Join the Sardine News HOTLINE
Join the Sardine News HOTLINE

Join the Sardine News HOTLINE for 2025 and Neva Miss a Single Sardine! We first upload to YouTube, and then progressively up to the rest of the social platforms (Facey, X, etc) as the bandwidth allows.

CLICK HERE TO JOIN as a Member on YouTube, and receive all these perks too…

Member of WhatsApp Sardine News HOTLINE, access to restricted content on thesardine.co.za, LIVE Broadcasts from the Beach during the sardine run. And direct contact with the Sardine Spy network team.

You can also get around the season in a real fun way by checking out our annual Sardine Run Maps. This is a real groovy way to follow the progress of the sardines each year.

You can even download our app to your phone or device, accept notifications, and you will never miss a single sardine.

Here are the links to existing and past  Sardine Sighting Maps…

2025 Sardine Map

2024 Sardine Map

2023 Sardine Map

2022 Sardine Map

2021 Sardine Map

Channels

Brucifire Surf Retorts – highly entertaining  surf reporting

Master Watermen – news from way down deep

The Sardine News – neva miss a single  sardine

FishBazaruto – 1000 pounds plus

MYDO Tackle Talk – highly technical  sport fishing

Surf Launching Southern Africa – getting out there safely

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The Sardine News and Windy.com

The Sardine News and Windy.com

The Sardine News and Windy.com: Good morning and thank you for checking in with us. Ok, conditions first – the conditions analysis goes out nice and early each day. Published on The Sardine News website. And into that will go the news as the day unfolds.

Starting with today! And Adam’s

On a scale of one to ten, today is an 11 plus. The ocean is big and glassy, painted smooth by a brisk and crisp offshore wind. That will blow right through this low tide and into mid-morning. Where it might hang about or swing gently onshore, as is predicted. High tide after lunch.

Talking of predictions, we have struck a deal with Windy.com that allows us to use their fantastic visualisations for our reports! Head on over to https://windy.com if you are ever uncertain of the weather. Hit the play button at the bottom left and watch as your future is revealed. Better than a crystal ball!

From the Windy.com animation, you can see the two cold fronts that we are in the middle of. That next one is only due mid-next week.

Surf

The SSW swell at 14 seconds will be fantastic at certain spots up and down the coast. Durban town looks a bit flat today. The Tweni 2’s surfing contest at Umtentweni is staged for tomorrow down the south coast, and the surf is going to be perfect down there!

A rising barometer at 1030 means east conditions on their way. Afternoon onshores are an everyday thing now. Luckily, the ocean recovers from the chop overnight.

Fish

Except for the lack of shad in KZN, the fishing is excellent. Luckily, this recent cold front might excite them shad all into the same sardine fever that has gotten hold of us.

Garrick and kingfish have been grabbing the headlines, along with medium to small sized koblets. Out at sea, couta is the name of the game. The recent UKFC kayak on the north coast of KZN event had phenomenal catches with a dozen fish around or over 20 kgs. Get your MYDOs in the Sardine News tackle store online.

Currents

And finally the Agulhas current…is screaming and we can clearly see how the counter current carrying the sardines has crept so far up into the Transkei. And is literally cut off now. We can see the Natal Pulse dynamic in full swing as the continental shelf diverts the Agulhas into a literal whirlpool.

Sardines and Sightings

Join the Sardine News HOTLINE
Join the Sardine News HOTLINE

Join the Sardine News HOTLINE for 2025 and Neva Miss a Single Sardine! We first upload to YouTube, and then progressively up to the rest of the social platforms (Facey, X, etc) as the bandwidth allows.

CLICK HERE TO JOIN as a Member on YouTube, and receive all these perks too…

Member of WhatsApp Sardine News HOTLINE, access to restricted content on thesardine.co.za, LIVE Broadcasts from the Beach during the sardine run. And direct contact with the Sardine Spy network team.

You can also get around the season in a real fun way by checking out our annual Sardine Run Maps. This is a real groovy way to follow the progress of the sardines each year.

You can even download our app to your phone or device, accept notifications, and you will never miss a single sardine.

Here are the links to existing and past  Sardine Sighting Maps…

2025 Sardine Map

2024 Sardine Map

2023 Sardine Map

2022 Sardine Map

2021 Sardine Map

Channels

Brucifire Surf Retorts – highly entertaining  surf reporting

Master Watermen – news from way down deep

The Sardine News – neva miss a single  sardine

FishBazaruto – 1000 pounds plus

MYDO Tackle Talk – highly technical  sport fishing

Surf Launching Southern Africa – getting out there safely

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